Eq: Large Cap
(New York)
Rates and yields are rising as the Fed hikes and the outlook for the US economy improves. However, that will have a major effect on many stocks, which makes investors nervous. Accordingly, here are five stocks that should thrive in this rising rate period. JP Morgan believes investors should shift out of defensives and into cyclical stocks, like capital goods, financials, auto, and semiconductors. Five stocks to look at are: Applied Materials, BorgWarner, Caterpillar, KeyCorp, Parker-Hannifin.
FINSUM: This is a direct bet that we are not headed toward a bear market and recession. Given the market’s momentum lately, that could be a good change of tact.
(New York)
One of the biggest surprises of the summer has been the outperformance of dividend stocks. Despite rates and yields rising, dividend stocks have done very well. With that in mind, here is a list of 7 of the best cheap high dividend yield ETFs: iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HVD, 3.51% yield), SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF (SPYD, 3.71%), Invesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF (DJD), Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF (SPHQ, 1.73%), Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM, 2.87%), JPMorgan U.S. Dividend ETF (JDIV, 3.76%), Xtrackers MSCI EAFE High Dividend Yield Equity ETF (HDEF).
FINSUM: All of these funds have very low expense ratios, and varying (but generally high yields). If you are looking for dividend income, these are a good place to start. That said, these are non-hedged, so there a good deal of rate risk.
(New York)
Utilities, telecoms, consumer staples, and REITs, all sectors that should get hurt as rates rise, right? Think again. Dividend stocks are doing well, and telecoms, in particular, look like they have a lot of upside for investors. According to Oppenheimer, the price war in the sector is coming to an end, which means telecoms, which have trailed the market this year, could be in for a good run. Also notable is that the dividend yield spread between AT&T and Verizon is now at its highest ever, with the former at 6% and the latter at 4%.
FINSUM: Favorable bundling and higher per user revenue seem likely. Those drivers, combined with the fact that dividend stocks have a lot of momentum, could mean the sector might strongly outperform the market.
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(New York)
One would think that with rates and yields rising, and set to continue doing so, dividend focused stock sectors might be suffering. Yet, the opposite is true in the last month, the biggest gainers in the S&P 500 have been the dividend stalwarts—utilities, consumer staples, and telecoms. The driver of the gains seems to be less about the returns provided by dividends, and more about the fact that these are defensive sectors that can protect against a downturn.
FINSUM: This development is a little confusing (but then again so is the whole market), as the defensive characteristics would seem to be somewhat offset by the downside of rising rates’ impact on these sectors.
(New York)
The market has been doing very well lately. Political worries, trade wars, it doesn’t matter, nothing seems to be able to contain the market’s optimism. Despite all this, though, Bank of America says it is all about to come to an end. The bank’s top strategist says that weakening growth, rising rates, and a glut of debt will conspire to weaken stocks. “The Fed is now in the midst of a tightening cycle, ignoring structural deflation, focusing on cyclical inflation … Until this Fed hiking cycle ends we suspect absolute returns from financial assets will remain slim & volatile”. BAML says that weakening bank stocks even in the face of rising rates (which should be good for them) may be a sign of how badly the Fed’s tightening will affect of the overall economy.
FINSUM: This is quite a gloomy and contrarian opinion. We see the argument, but it certainly seems to contradict everything one can observe in the market and economy right now.
(New York)
While the SEC seems to have largely shrank from the limelight surrounding its investigation of Tesla, there is news on that front, and in a big way. The DOJ is now investigating Tesla, and specifically, it has launched a criminal investigation into Elon Musk’s now infamous tweet about taking the company private. The investigation sits alongside a civil inquiry by the SEC. Tesla said it had received a “voluntary request” for documents but that there was no “subpoena, a request for testimony, or any other formal process”.
FINSUM: Hard to see where this may go, but we imagine it could turn into a big headache (and distraction) for Musk and the company, as well as its shareholders.