(London)

We don’t cover the Brexit saga very much, mostly because it doesn’t seem to have a great deal of relevance to the US. However, interesting news is out today: the UK’s Labour party is trying to get a second Brexit referendum going. The political details are complicated, but the general plan is to derail the government’s current Brexit plan, and then hold a general election that could work as a replacement for the first Brexit result. A Labour party’s spokesman says that it is a “sequenced, structured” strategy.

FINSUM: We have maintained throughout this saga that the UK should not leave the EU. It is still going to have to be heavily involved with the EU for economic and political reasons, and if it leaves it will simply go from a rule-maker to a rule-taker.

(Washington)

Brokers pay attention—a major loophole in the SEC’s best interest rule has just become apparent. One of the industry’s big complaints about the BI rule has been that it seeks to govern the use of the “advisor” title. Well, until now it seems that everyone had missed a key loophole in the rule. When the SEC drafted it, it allowed for dually-registered advisors/B-Ds to call themselves advisors even when they are carrying on brokerage business. 61% of registered reps work at dually-registered firms, meaning this aspect of the rule is mostly a moot point for the majority of advisors. According to Michael Kitces, famed advisor and wealth management commentator, “The rule literally doesn’t apply to most advisers”.

FINSUM: This is one of those bombshell realizations that seems to happen when a new rule is 1,000+ pages long—you miss things.

(New York)

Retirees are looking for dividend stocks that can pay them steadily and over the long term. The higher the yield, the better, but generally one wants stable underlying companies that are not going to spend too high a percentage of cash. With those factors in mind, here are three names to consider: Verizon (4.3% yield), master limited partnership MPLX (6.85%), and mining giant Rio Tinto (~6%).

FINSUM: Verizon seems like a good bet to us, and we expect they might raise the dividend given that it is at an all time low relative to AT&T.

(Washington)

On the surface, the US seems to have a major upper hand in its trade war with China. Simply put, they export a lot more to the US than we do to China, which means that they have more to lose than we. However, looking closer at the imposition of the US’ attest tariffs, a significant weak spot emerges. That weak spot is that the US has become overly reliant on some very niche but important Chinese exports. Mot of these are things people have never heard of, like carbonate esters and fluorine salts, both used for electric car batteries. Nonetheless though, they are very important, and 297 such imports were recently exempted from the US tariffs.

FINSUM: Barite (for oil and gas exploration) and Ibuprofen, are other crucial imports. This is one of the pressure points where China could simply cutoff supply and the US would be in a difficult position.

(New York)

Rates and yields are rising as the Fed hikes and the outlook for the US economy improves. However, that will have a major effect on many stocks, which makes investors nervous. Accordingly, here are five stocks that should thrive in this rising rate period. JP Morgan believes investors should shift out of defensives and into cyclical stocks, like capital goods, financials, auto, and semiconductors. Five stocks to look at are: Applied Materials, BorgWarner, Caterpillar, KeyCorp, Parker-Hannifin.

FINSUM: This is a direct bet that we are not headed toward a bear market and recession. Given the market’s momentum lately, that could be a good change of tact.

(Houston)

The oil market is continuing to thrive and the near-term outlook is strong. WTI oil, the US benchmark is currently trading at over $72 per barrel, while Brent, the world’s benchmark is at $80. The commodity is moving higher as markets are worried it will not be easy for producers to easily offset the losses of production in Venezuela and Iran, meaning supply may be constrained. OPEC generally agrees that when oil gets to $80 or above, it crimps demand.

FINSUM: The near term outlook for oil looks strong because of renewed US sanctions on Iran. However, in the longer term, the trade war seems likely to take a toll on emerging market economies, which will send oil demand and prices sagging.

(New York)

Gold has been in the doldrums for a long time (and we mean long). The shiny metal is still down over 35% from its peak in 2011, and it has lost 8% this year. However, Barron’s is arguing that it is time for gold to shine. They argue that since gold is currently very cheap relative to other asset classes and inflation is increasing, the metal is poised to make a comeback. Gold has historically been a good hedge against inflation, which may drive its renewed appeal as inflation rises. The metal is currently trading around $1,200 per ounce.

FINSUM: The problem with this argument is that gold also tends to weaken as rates rise (because it has zero yield). So, how much will that offset any gains?

(New York)

One of the biggest surprises of the summer has been the outperformance of dividend stocks. Despite rates and yields rising, dividend stocks have done very well. With that in mind, here is a list of 7 of the best cheap high dividend yield ETFs: iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HVD, 3.51% yield), SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF (SPYD, 3.71%), Invesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF (DJD), Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF (SPHQ, 1.73%), Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM, 2.87%), JPMorgan U.S. Dividend ETF (JDIV, 3.76%), Xtrackers MSCI EAFE High Dividend Yield Equity ETF (HDEF).

FINSUM: All of these funds have very low expense ratios, and varying (but generally high yields). If you are looking for dividend income, these are a good place to start. That said, these are non-hedged, so there a good deal of rate risk.

(Washington)

The special counsel investigation that started as an investigation into the Trump administration’s connections to Russia, but has blossomed into an all-encompassing dragnet, has been quite quiet of late. However, the FT reported today that Trump’s former lawyer Michael Cohen has been cooperating with Mueller and his team, particularly on the topic of Russian interference. According to Cohen’s lawyer, his client has provided “critical information” to the special counsel regarding Russia.

FINSUM: It is hard to know how whether the information he passed along was valuable, but it could be a hint that there is another bombshell about to hit headlines.

(New York)

At the end of August, the IRS closed the door on the numerous high-tax states that were trying to classify their residents’ taxes as charitable gifts so as to make them deductible. That moved slammed the door of options shut for New York and New Jersey residents. However, the IRS didn’t close the door to other workarounds, and Connecticut apparently has a favorable model that specifically applies to pass-through entities. The workaround allows full deduction to the previous tax level for users through an income credit system on taxes paid.

FINSUM: One wonders if the IRS will just move on to shutting these programs down or whether this is a model that other states can build on.