Displaying items by tag: risk

(New York)

If the trend is your friend, then ESG is a bandwagon all investors should be getting on. Coming of a pandemic year where ESG funds outperformed conventional offerings, ESG has been red hot in 2021, gathering up mountains of assets. There appear to be two major reasons for this. The first is that more and more investors care to be socially-conscious in their portfolios, and secondly, because a long-held thesis that ESG funds would outperform is coming true. Over recent periods, ESG has had less volatility and more upside than traditional funds.

FINSUM: One can play with the time frame and other variables to produce the results they want, but logically speaking ESG is making more sense as the risks in the market are increasingly aligned with ESG: politics, natural (and other) disasters, social changes etc.

(New York)

Market volatility has been rising substantially and advisors may be interested in looking for holistic ways to diversify risk. Take a look at WisdomTree’s lineup of models, which are quite comprehensive. Using a factor-based approach, WisdomTree has a number of models to help investors hedge risk. This kind of approach can be quite useful right now as the market has been so unpredictable. According to the CIO of WisdomTree “We see an almost total factor performance reversal. In Q1 (when interest rates were rising), the market was led by value, dividends, and quality, with growth and momentum trailing far behind … But since then (as interest rates have fallen), it has been exactly the opposite—growth, momentum, and quality have led the way, while value and dividends dramatically underperformed”.

FINSUM: Models are an increasingly popular way for advisors to achieve a lot of investing goals, and they may be most useful because they can help save time by giving a single point-of-access to a comprehensive strategy.

(New York)

With the proliferation of ETFs and model portfolios and the growing amount of assets flowing into them, more and more AUM has been going into low vol and other risk management-oriented strategies. This is doubly true with the big volatility of the last year. However, a small cautionary tale to share today. If you take a look at LVHD, a popular “low volatility high dividend” ETF from Legg Mason, you see a fund that has significantly underperformed the S&P 500 and failed to protect investors from volatility. It is hard to know exactly why because the fund’s proprietary methodology is not transparent. However, even that fact is representative of the space. In their rush to defend against downside, many low vol ETFs and models can inadvertently and drastically underperform and expose investors to very low risk-return profiles.

FINSUM: What you get is not always what is being sold, so when choosing low vol products, make sure to pay significant attention to methodology and track record, especially during periods of volatility.

(New York)

Until every recently (and even now), junk bond yields were historically low. This was not a surprise since Treasuries were also at historic lows. But the whole situation begs an important question—why are junk bonds so popular when their yields are so low? It seems like an abundance of risk with little return. The answer to the question is that “there is no alternative”. Many fund managers have mandates to invest in a minimum holding of bonds, no matter what their yields. Therefore, when that cash needs to find a home in fixed income, it naturally finds its way towards the highest-yielding bonds, even if those might be quite risky. This helps explains the huge decline in yields since March 2020 (from an average of 12% yield to under 4% in February).

FINSUM: “There is no alternative” (TINA), is the same explanation given for the big rise in equities since after the Financial Crisis, and even since the beginning of the pandemic. Frankly, the argument seems to hold water.

(New York)

Asset allocation as it has traditionally been conceived has taken a beating over the last few years, and especially since the start of the pandemic. The old 60/40 allocation model has been cast aside for years, and investors are using many new techniques to allocate, such as factoring. However, one easy-to-implement and effective way to think about allocation is the balance of active and passive investments one holds. Active investments, when well done, can offer long-term outperformance. However, they also have more significant risks. Accordingly, this can be the risk/upside portion of a portfolio, while passive strategies, which are almost by definition more diversified, can be more of a hedge.

FINSUM: This not only makes sense in equities, but this consideration about active vs passive holds across different asset classes as well.