Displaying items by tag: fixed income

In an article for USNews, Tony Dong covers the opportunity for investors in high-yield fixed income and equity ETFs. Currently, investors can lock in risk-free yields above 5% due to rates being at their highest level in decades. 

However, these short-term rates are not likely to linger at these levels for a long period of time due to inflation peaking and now starting to roll over as well as increasing risk of a recession. Although there is divided opinion on which outcome will prevail, the reality is that either scenario will result in lower rates and yields. 

For investors who don’t believe that a recession will materialize, they should be salivating at the prospect of buying a high-yield fixed income or equity ETF to lock in these yields. These ETFs offer higher yields than Treasuries, but they also offer the potential for appreciation if economic growth surprises to the upside. 

For instance, the Invesco Fundamental High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is a diversified basket of high-yield, corporate bonds. These are riskier than investment-grade bonds but less so than equities. Currently, it pays a yield of 6.7% with an expense ratio of 0.5%. 

Finsum: Investors should consider taking advantage of the highest rates seen in decades through high-yield ETFs. 

In an article for Citywire, David Stevenson discusses whether active fixed income or equity ETFs will displace mutual funds. Already, passive equity funds have replaced mutual funds as the preferred vehicle for investors and institutions given lower costs, more transparency, and better returns over long time periods. 

On the fixed income side, it’s a bit more challenging given that active funds have a track record of outperforming passive funds. In large part, this is because active funds have more latitude in terms of duration and credit quality that are not available to passive funds. 

However, Stevenson is skeptical that active ETFs will be able to completely replace mutual funds. He sees many active ETFs as being mutual funds in an ‘ETF package’ with a slightly lower fee. He is also skeptical that active fixed income will continue to outperform over the long-term. 

As evidence, he cites the lack of inflows into active ETFs despite a spate of launches over the past year. So far, active funds only account for 5.8% of assets under management, while passive makes up the rest. Of this, active fixed income ETFs have seen 9% of total bond flows, totaling only $8.5 billion, while passive fixed fixed income ETFs have seen $75 billion of inflows. 

Finsum: Active fixed income funds have performed well YTD but still are not seeing significant inflows despite a number of new issues in the past year. 

In an article for MarketWatch, Isabel Wang details comments from Blackrock’s Gargi Chadhuri who is the Head of Investment Strategy for iShares. The major uncertainty for fixed income investors is whether the Fed’s current pause is temporary or the end of the hiking cycle.

According to Chaudhari, the market is too optimistic that the Fed is finished in terms of further hikes given that inflation has proven to be more resilient than expected. Therefore, Blackrock is recommending medium-term duration fixed income to take advantage of elevated yields with reduced volatility.

At the latest FOMC meeting, Chair Jerome Powell surprised market participants with a more hawkish tone than expected, implying that the job isn’t done yet in terms of tightening policy. Further hikes are bearish for the long-end, while the budding signs that the economy could stumble into a recession are bearish for the short-end. 

As a result, the strategist recommends medium-duration fixed income such as the iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF or the iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF. Overall, he sees more opportunity in fixed income given higher rates and an uncertain outlook especially following a decade of a lack of opportunity in the space during the period of zero percent rates. 

Finsum: iShares head of Investment Strategy, Gargi Chadhuri believes that medium-duration fixed income offers the best combination of risk and reward for investors.

Return flights.No return policy.

Well, whichever way you look at it, as the first half of the year hits the rearview mirror, you might say  fixed income has a take of its own. according to schwab.com.

The topsy turvy market aside, all signs are up on year to date returns in virtually every sub asset class of the fixed income market, Modest gains were posted by short term investments with low durations. Meantime, a duo of higher starting coupons and yields, which tracked south, boosted intermediate to long term bonds.

All that said, in 18 months, fixed income markets have been feeling their oats. 

That wasn’t the case last year, according to janushenderson.com. After all, that was in light of the central bank’s concerted monetary tightening. With that, yields rose sharply while the prices of bonds retreated. The feeling toward bonds these days? Markedly different.

Global flows into fixed income? Thumb’s up. Year to date, $152 billion entered fixed income funds, reported EPFR Global.

In an article for ThinkAdvisor, Dinah Wisenberg Brin discussed a recent bullish commentary on various segments of the fixed income market from John Hancock’s co-chief investment strategist Matthew Miskin. 

Miskin sees the current inverted yield curve as due to normalize in the coming months as the Federal Reserve embarks on a cutting cycle given the firm’s view that the economy should continue to decelerate along with cooling inflation. This will create a bond ‘bull steepener’ as short-term rates decline.

It sees a recession materializing over the next couple of quarters which would be a positive tailwind for fixed income. He sees opportunities in intermediate duration bonds which historically have performed the best following yield curve inversions. Further, he sees value in the space given that the average investment-grade, intermediate bond portfolio is trading at 90 cents on the dollar with a 5% yield. 

Miskin is also bullish on municipal bonds given historically attractive yields of 7% on a ta-equivalent basis for the highest earners. In terms of equities, the firm is not a believer in the current stock market rally given weakness in earnings and its expectations of a further softening of the economic picture. 

Finsum: John Hancock’s co-chief investment strategist is bullish on fixed income with a particular focus on intermediate duration and municipal debt.