FINSUM
A new generation of technology is at our fingertips, and whether that's Netflix or Amazon people want the technology to service them now more than ever. Index tracking funds are really the cable box in the modern world and investors want a more tailored experience that only custom indexing can offer. Partners at Fidelity are saying that a hyper-customized multi asset portfolio is really the future, and given how popular trends like ESG are becoming, advisors are really needing better tools to attract and maintain clientele. Custom indexing can hit a multitude of demands investors want and also drive home a better fee for their workload as compared to traditional ETFs.
FINSUM: The world of a custom index, where stocks can be added and dropped for any reason is here, and it's probably on a mobile platform soon.
2021 is wrapping up which means we will have annual launch numbers for different types of ETFs. One area of surging growth is active fixed income where there were 15 new launches this year, this is quite an historic change from over 5 years ago when there were a meager 7 new funds launched. Overall the growth is staggering because a decade ago there were only about 25 active fixed income funds and there are well over 175 today. Historically low yields around the globe and significant interest rates have many investors pouring over $137 billion into active fixed income funds, as they rely on pickers to outperform the stock market. A variety of quantitative funds are popping up in fixed income leading to smart beta strategies which can also drive better returns.
FINSUM: Active fixed incomes growth has stayed stable the last five years but the explosion is no doubt a retort to the global macro factors facing fixed income managers.
Think Advisor has put out a piece outlining pending changes to IRAs that are making their way through the legislative process. Importantly, some of these have bipartisan support and seem likely to make it into law. The biggest changes in the cards have to do with Roth IRA conversions. A lot has been made in the press about the mega rich doing massive IRA to Roth IRA conversions and thus congress is set to take action. Conversion between the two would be banned for those with incomes over $400,000.
FINSUM: Advisors should start helping clients plan for this change. However, there is a massive caveat here: the current congressional plan calls for this loophole to close, but only starting ten years from now!
Crypto went on a wild ride this year as regulators from the globe sent the price in terms of dollars on a rollercoaster. However, some individuals might need to minimize their tax burden and crypto could provide some outs. If not all of your coins took off or better yet if you jumped in on Doge coin at the wrong time now is the time to sell off some coin and realize the gain for some optimal tax loss harvesting. Investors can also take advantage of the fact that wash rules don’t apply to Crypto until 2023, which means you can buy and sell your coins within a 30 day period to help minimize your tax contribution. Finally, investors can utilize a donation of cryptos above their fair market value to write off a charitable donation from your final tax bill.
FINSUM: Cryptos up and down roller coaster ride gives investors holding it an advantage in tax loss harvesting, and particularly when it comes to capitalizing on the Wash rules applicability.
Investors are doubling down efforts to carry out specific reviews of companies ESG compliance, as a new survey found that 72% carry out reviews compared to a meager 32% a couple of years ago. Some stocks are standing out from the crowd as good ESG investments moving forward. Microsoft stands out by their detailed yearly reports that will stand up to scrutiny and their pledges to reduce their carbon footprint seem very plausible. The next big stock is Nvidia which has one of the highest ESG ratings in the chip manufacturing industry and GPU and other chip demand will only grow moving forward. Dividend darling Coca-Cola should also be on investor’s radar as it has a long positive history of supporting sustainable initiatives. Rounding out the best picks is American Express which has an AA rating on ESG efforts putting it in the industry's 93 percentile.
FINSUM: Stock pickers should look out for consistent ESG benchmarks as this will likely lead to outperformance moving forward.
Inflation is a concern for retirees, but they should be more concerned than ever becauseSocial Security is tracking the wrong index. Currently Social Security bases its cost of living adjustments on the consumer price index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). However, the CPI-W doesn’t fully account for the costs of healthcare and housing that burden retirees more than other groups. Instead social security should track the Consumer Price Index for Elderly (CPI-E) because this is the demographic they are targeting. Research shows that the average social security account since 1983 is in a 0.2% compounded deficit. The rate of inflation for healthcare is slowing which could end up benefiting retirees moving forward but that's just a prediction.
FINSUM: Social security won’t be keeping up with your healthcare costs and investors should augment their portfolios to compensate.
Hedge funds opened the floodgates and entered a firesale on treasuries in response to Powells pivot on inflation. JPMorgan said the selling demonstrates leveraged investors pivoting out of Treasuries. Hedge funds are continually shorting across the futures market, and are now hitting an annual low in U.S. 10-year treasuries futures. The only problem is the tapering hasn’t begun just yet and rate hikes are only in theory. This means hedge funds drastically need the Fed to follow through on a hawkish swing if they don’t want to get hung out to dry.
FINSUM: It would be extremely unlikely the Fed pivots on its tapering. The only way that's possible is if inflation was significantly below target the next one or two quarters.
Given their widespread popularity lawmakers have scrambled to put together a series of changes to a popular retirement product in the last year and it looks like more are coming. There appears to be bi-partisan support for the additions building on the 2019 Secure act which tried to increase retirement security. The House and Senate bills both include changes that would remove the maximum amount on the Qualified Longevity Annuity Contract. Previously it was capped at the minimum of $135,000 or 25% of your retirement accounts. The Senate provision also bumps the minimum up to $200,000. The new provisions also include auto enrollment in 401(k) plans and a student loan exchange in existing 401(k) plans. The final piece to the provisions is an increase in catch-up contributions for existing 401(k) plans that could further bolster retirement savings.
FINSUM: One of the underappreciated aspects of the Biden administration is the expansion of savings vehicles for retirees across many income earners.
The latest data release from BlackRock’s iShares division revealed troubling news about the state of Bond Market ETFs: inflows slumped to just $14 billion which is the lowest since the onset of the pandemic. It's the taxable corporate bond market that's fairing the worst as investors are pouring less dollars into traditional corporate debt and junk bonds, amid fears of inflation eating yields. Instead, investors are turning to shorter duration and inflation protected bonds. Nearly 40% of fixed income flows went into inflation linked bonds, an almost unprecedented number. Investors have also started to put inflows into Chinese bonds as the international sovereign debt market was a relative winner among bond ETFs. China’s yield is the biggest draw to international investors as they see the debt as relatively secure and paying more than developed countries.
FINSUM: Expect corporate bond outflows to continue until the TIPS spread starts turning towards the Feds 2% inflation objective.
The cloud has been the latest computing craze financial firms have been chasing but it was mobile control that just got the latest expansion in portfolio management software. Enfusion Inc. is a leading provider of cloud based financial software and they are pushing through several new alterations to their mobile platforms. Mobile users will have personalized reports and real-time access to their market exposures. Additionally, they will have a variety of compliance management features including monitoring and overriding exceptions. Finally, a variety of managed services like secure document sharing and profit and loss statements optimized for mobile platforms will be available.
FINSUM: Companies with an advantage in cloud computing will make the quickest transition to mobile products because of the large data they can provide at the snap of their fingers.