Displaying items by tag: equities

According to a Bloomberg News survey of terminal and Bloomberg.com readers, sixty-five percent of the respondents expect ESG funds to trail the broader market in 2023. Out of the 691 survey respondents, 264 expect ESG funds to “slightly underperform,” while 184 are predicting they’ll “significantly underperform.” Of those 691 respondents, 235 identified themselves as being directly involved in ESG investing, and of this group, a little more than half said they expect the funds to “slightly” or “significantly” underperform. Fionna Ross of Edinburgh-based fund manager Abrdn Plc told Bloomberg, “Given the challenges of 2022, there will be some recovery next year, but it will remain mixed” because of inflation and other overhanging economic hurdles." While data shows that the average equity fund adhering to ESG factors lost slightly less money this year than products that track traditional broader market indexes such as the S&P 500, ESG funds have outperformed over a longer period. According to researchers at Morningstar, about 56% of U.S. sustainable funds beat rival category groups in the three-year period that ended on Sept. 30th.

Finsum:Based on the results of a recent Bloomberg survey, 65% of respondents believe that ESG funds will underperform the broader market in 2023. 

While politics have made ESG a controversial topic recently, there’s no denying the fact that its popularity is still soaring. That was made abundantly clear with the release of the Index Industry Association’s (IIA) sixth annual global benchmark survey, showing a surge in ESG benchmarks worldwide. According to the survey, the total number of indexes climbed internationally by 4.43% over the prior year, with ESG indexes worldwide increasing by 55%. However, the bigger news was that fixed-income ESG indexes surpassed equity ESG indexes for the first time. In fact, fixed-income ESG indexes increased by an unprecedented 95.8%. This breaks the previous record of 61.09% last year. While equity ESG index growth was slower, it still grew at a high rate of 24.15 percent. Muni indexes had the strongest year for non-ESG fixed income, rising 10.86%. Rick Redding, IIA’s CEO, said the following concerning the survey: “The index industry continues to meet the needs of the marketplace by creating innovative solutions. Highlighted again this year by record growth in ESG, index providers are empowering investors with the ability to define, track and better understand an ever-broadening range of financial markets, sectors, investment styles, and asset classes.”

Finsum:A recent index survey revealed that fixed-income ESG indexes have surpassed equity ESG indexes for the first time.

While many market strategists have noted the recent failures of the 60/40 model portfolio, one investment manager still sees value in the portfolio model. Quilter Cheviot's investment manager David Henry told the Financial Times that there was still value in 60/40 portfolios despite rising inflation and geopolitical uncertainty. He commented, "But if we look at the historical numbers, maybe the grim reaper should hold onto his horses." Henry looked at quarterly returns for stocks and bonds since 1986 and found that there were nine quarters when the prices of both bonds and stocks fell in tandem and it has only happened once since 1986 in consecutive quarters, the first and second quarters of this year. He stated, "Breakdowns in diversification like we have seen this year, are rare. We then looked at 12-month forward returns for a 60/40 asset allocation following quarters where stocks and bonds fell together and returns were pretty healthy following those quarters.”

Finsum: An investment manager still believes in the 60/40 portfolio model as it is pretty rare for stocks and bonds to fall in tandem.

One of the most popular allocations for model portfolios in recent history has been the 60/40 model. A classic allocation with 60% invested in stocks and 40% invested in bonds. Until recently, this model has generated stable returns for investors. However, this year’s brutal returns for both the equity and fixed income markets have investors wondering if the traditional 60/40 model provides adequate protection. In most previous equity downturns, investors have been able to count on bond instruments to hedge negative equity performance due to an inverse relationship between stock returns and bond yields. But this year, investors have been faced with both a down stock market and a hawkish Fed, leading to losses in both asset classes. This has made the 60/40 model seem outdated as of late. While the 60/40 model may not be dead yet, investors may want to consider model portfolios with additional asset classes in the current market environment.

Finsum:With a down stock market and a hawkish Fed, investors may want to reconsider the 60/40 model portfolio.

China has another Covid-19 outbreak that could potentially shut down Beijing in the same way that the world saw a lockdown in Shanghai previously. This outbreak is sending a shockwave across all assets that are spiking volatility. The VIX hit its highest point since mid-March, and there was a mild reservation in the bond market. 10-year treasury yields spiked 14 basis points. Bonds and equities aren’t even the whole stories; everyone knows commodities are in a super cycle, but this outbreak is putting that at risk. A variety of different commodities' prices fell in response. Finally, Wall Street is starting to be concerned that a global recession is a possibility with Ukraine-Russia ongoing, Covid surging, and serious inflation risk.

Finsum: The yield curve is also starting to turn which could be really bad for equities markets.