Wealth Management

Public pension funds, including CalSTRS and LACERA, are enlisting consultants and specialists to navigate the intricate structures used by private equity firms to extend the lifespan of investments. LACERA, managing $82 billion as of November, has allocated resources for a new role focused on operational due diligence within its private markets portfolio. 

 

With private equity increasingly relying on financial engineering, experts stress the need for limited partners to stay informed to adapt to these complex arrangements. Examples of strained assets rolled into continuation vehicles, like Upstream and United Site Services, highlight the challenges of managing leveraged investments in a high-interest-rate environment.

 

Despite these pressures, some private equity firms, such as Audax, maintain optimism about long-term recovery through operational improvements and strategic adjustments. 


Finsum: Although pockets of distress exist, we remain confident in the resilience of private markets and their ability to weather economic headwinds.

 

The private credit market faces significant risks due to relaxed lending standards and the influx of capital, warns Nick Moakes of the Wellcome Trust. He anticipates substantial losses for investors if the U.S. economy enters a recession. 

 

While private credit is less systemically risky than traditional banking, diminished checks on borrowing have raised concerns. Rating agency KBRA projects defaults in the sector to rise to 3% by 2025, driven by higher interest rates and vulnerable business models. 

 

Moakes also criticized large alternative asset managers, noting their focus on asset growth may not align with investor interests. Despite the risks, the Wellcome Trust avoids direct private credit investments but monitors the market through its private equity allocations.


Finsum: With rates moves slowing down we think private credit could have an advantage over traditional fixed income products. 

Despite the ongoing challenges in the residential REIT sector, some companies are well-positioned to benefit from strong demand and strategic advantages. Equity LifeStyle Properties, for example, focuses on manufactured home communities and RV resorts in high-demand locations, benefiting from favorable demographics and constrained supply. 

 

Veris Residential, with a modern Class A portfolio and a tech-driven approach, is poised to capitalize on scalable growth in the Northeast market. UMH Properties, which operates manufactured home communities across several states, is likely to see continued demand, particularly due to high mortgage rates that make renting a more viable option for many. 

 

These REITs are leveraging technology to enhance operations and optimize revenue, allowing them to adapt to evolving market dynamics. 


Finsum: Including an influx of new rental units and increased concessions, these companies offer strong prospects for future growth.

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