Wealth Management

The Trump administration has proposed major federal budget cuts for 2026, aiming to slash over $160 billion, including deep reductions to climate and clean energy programs. The plan targets more than $15 billion in previously approved funding for carbon capture and renewable energy, along with $6 billion earmarked for electric vehicle charging stations. 

 

According to the White House, these programs failed to deliver results and should instead rely on private sector leadership guided by market demand. The proposal would shift focus toward boosting domestic production of fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and critical minerals. 

 

Additional cuts would hit the EPA, USDA, and NOAA, reducing support for environmental research, farm conservation, and food aid abroad. Critics argue the plan undermines public health and rural development, while its passage in Congress remains uncertain.


Finsum: Obviously ESG is going to take an initial hit with the administration, but it has always remained a very long term investment, and could be a good time to buy low. 

Vanguard has introduced its first dynamic asset allocation fixed income model portfolios, expanding its suite with the Fixed Income Risk Diversification and Fixed Income Total Return options. These new models are designed to support financial advisors by actively adjusting allocations throughout the year, guided by Vanguard’s 10-year Capital Markets Model forecasts. 

 

Aimed at outperforming benchmarks like the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate and Universal Indexes, the portfolios are tailored to varying risk appetites and investment timelines. The Risk Diversification model emphasizes global investment-grade bonds for stability, while the Total Return model adds high-yield exposure for greater accumulation potential.

 

 With expense ratios of 0.05% and 0.08% respectively, the models reflect Vanguard’s continued focus on low-cost, research-driven solutions. 


Finsum: Their debut also aligns with broader industry momentum toward model portfolios, with advisors increasingly favoring them over traditional fund-of-funds structures.

Over a 27-year period ending in Q3 2024, Cliffwater found that U.S. buyouts (private equity) consistently traded at a 29% EBITDA multiple discount relative to public equities, contributing significantly to private equity’s historical outperformance. This discount, combined with higher earnings yields and potential valuation convergence, helped private equity deliver a 6% gross return premium, which nets to about 2.2% after fees compared to public markets. 

 

Several structural tailwinds reinforce private equity’s appeal, including a shrinking pool of public companies, persistently low credit spreads, and extreme valuation gaps between large-growth and small-value stocks. 

 

These valuation disparities, combined with the relative strength of the U.S. dollar, give large-cap firms and private equity buyers strategic advantages in acquiring smaller domestic and foreign targets. Meanwhile, the sluggish IPO and M&A markets in 2025 have led to a spike in discounted private equity secondary sales, offering further entry points for opportunistic investors. 


Finsum: Despite recent macro headwinds, these intersecting forces create a compelling backdrop for private equity to continue outperforming.

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