Wealth Management

As the $1.7 trillion private credit industry faces a significant fundraising slump, firms like Adams Street Partners, Antares Holdings, and Hayfin Capital Management are focusing on Latin America. They're targeting pension funds and wealthy individuals. 

 

Philippe Stiernon of ROAM Capital notes that scarce capital in the US and Europe is pushing managers to diversify. With institutional investors in the US and Europe at saturation points, funds are exploring Latin America for new growth. 

 

This region offers safer investments compared to its volatile domestic debt markets. Stiernon describes Latin America as "the last major frontier for LP growth" in the alternative investments landscape.


Finsum: This presents an opportunity to ultra diversify and get truly uncorrelated turns as we move into a potentially tumultuous election cycle. 

Actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are projected to quadruple their assets to $4 trillion globally by 2030, according to BlackRock. 

 

These funds are gaining traction, making up 70% of U.S.-listed ETF launches in the first half of 2024, driven by investor demand for strategies that can navigate market volatility and offer potential outperformance. The growth of active ETFs has been facilitated by a 2019 SEC regulatory change, which lowered barriers to entry and encouraged innovation.

 

Despite their higher costs, active ETFs are increasingly popular for their tax efficiency and flexibility. BlackRock projects the overall ETF industry will double its assets to $25 trillion by 2030.


Finsum: Volatility is driving a lot of active investment inflows, but this trend is set to continue as so much uncertainty remains. 

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady during its two-day policy meeting this week but signal potential rate cuts as soon as September, acknowledging that inflation is nearing the 2% target. 

 

Recent data shows easing price pressures, with the PCE price index rising at just 1.5% annualized since March. Fed officials may change their inflation description from "elevated" to "moderately elevated," reflecting confidence that inflation will continue to decline. 

 

Policymakers believe rate cuts might be necessary before inflation fully returns to the target. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference following the policy statement release detailing the future path of policy. 


Finsum: The market is still pricing in two more cuts by the end of the year, we’ll see if that comes to fruition. 

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