Wealth Management

You can’t talk about the markets in 2022 without mentioning volatility, and it appears investors are just as nervous now as they were last year. That is according to the results of a recent survey from Allianz Life. The firm’s findings in its Quarterly Market Perceptions Study for the fourth quarter of 2022 revealed that 77% of the survey's respondents believe equities will be volatile in 2023, extending the big swings that eventually drove stocks into a bear market in 2022. Stocks were hit hard last year as high inflation prompted the Fed to raise interest rates. The volatility is making most Americans nervous about their retirement portfolios in the face of a potential recession, while inflation is still running hot. In fact, many investors would rather hold onto cash than risk losing money in stocks. Allianz Life found that 64% said they would rather have their money sit in cash rather than endure market swings. The financial services provider also noted that Americans are so concerned about their financial futures that many are halting retirement contributions and are worried about covering their day-to-day expenses. For instance, 65% of respondents said they will adjust their retirement and investment plans if volatility continues, jumping from 57% during the same period last year. Plus, eighty-two percent of Americans are worried that rising inflation will keep hurting their income's purchasing power over the next six months.


Finsum:After suffering crushing losses last year on account of wild market swings, investors are even more concerned about volatility this year, which could result in them sitting in cash and halting retirement contributions.

The SECURE 2.0 Act of 2022, which was passed in December 2022, is retirement reform legislation that aimed to increase retirement access and security for Americans. While the legislation’s focus was on defined contribution plans, it still had an impact on annuities. For instance, Section 201 of the SECURE 2.0 act removes availability barriers to some life annuities in tax-advantaged retirement accounts. Before the bill was passed, required minimum distribution tests limited the availability of some lifetime annuities which had large benefit increases from year to year. The passage of the bill now allows these annuities to increase at a constant percentage, no more than 5% per year. In addition, Section 202 seeks to make Qualified Longevity Annuity Contracts (QLAC) easier to invest in. The section raises the cap to $200,000 on how much money a participant can use from their retirement account to purchase a QLAC. Previously, it used to be either 25% of the account’s value or $125,000, whichever was greater. Plus, Section 204 allows a retiree with a partially annuitized plan to combine the payments from both the annuity and the plan to calculate their required minimum distribution, according to Elizabeth Dold, a tax attorney and executive committee member at the Groom Law Group. Before the bill, the two accounts had to be separated, each with its own RMD calculation, which could result in higher RMD payments than if they were counted together.


Finsum:While the SECURE 2.0 Act focused on DC plans, the legislation made changes to annuities such as removing availability barriers to some life annuities in tax-advantaged retirement accounts and making QLACs easier to invest in.

While markets in 2022 were crushing for many, some portfolio managers at Capital Group are seeing brighter days ahead this year, but are still playing it safe. At a webinar revealing the firm’s asset allocations for this year, managers stated that they are reacting to a changing environment and that the market’s direction will depend on the movements of the Federal Reserve. John Queen, fixed-income portfolio manager said, “The key is inflation, and the path inflation takes from here is really going to determine what the macro environment looks like, what happens with interest rates here in the U.S., and then how aggressively the Fed is willing to combat that inflation if it stays somewhat elevated.” While the adjustments that the firm is making to its model portfolios are small, they are tilting away from growth and moving toward income, according to the panel. For instance, in its growth and income model portfolio, Capital Group moved 5% of its allocation out of a balanced fund and into a diversified fixed-income fund. Michelle Black, another solutions portfolio manager at the firm stated, “For a 20-year horizon, the starting point matters, and starting after a down year means positive outcomes for long-term investors. It’s probably not surprising to hear we have higher expected returns across the board versus one year ago, stemming really from more attractive valuations, especially in fixed income.”


Finsum:Capital Group portfolio managers are tilting away from growth and moving towards income in their model portfolios due to attractive valuations in fixed income.

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