Displaying items by tag: private credit

Aeon conducted a survey of pension funds, insurance asset managers, family offices, and wealth managers. Among the findings was that a majority plan to increase their allocation to active fixed income funds over the next 2 years. Currently, about 17% of respondents have less than 10% of their portfolios in active fixed income strategies, while 20% have between 50 and 75% of their portfolio in active fixed income. Overall, respondents are willing to trade liquidity for greater returns and diversification. 

 

The survey also indicates that 13% of respondents plan to ‘dramatically’ increase exposure, while 81% plan to do so ‘slightly’. In terms of return expectations, 55% are looking for between 3 and 5%, while 36% are looking for between 5 and 7%. 

 

In terms of alternatives, there was nearly unanimous consensus that the asset class would continue to grow as 74% see a slight increase over the next 2 years, while 16% see a dramatic increase. 

 

Another area of agreement is that these allocators are looking for fund managers with a ‘broad mandate’ to invest in several credit markets. The respondents also shared the view that they would be increasing allocation to private credit with 24% looking to ‘dramatically’ increase, and 67% seeing a slight increase. 


Finsum: Aeon conducted a survey of institutional investors. Among the findings was a consensus agreement that allocations to active fixed income strategies would materially increase over the next 2 years. 

 

Published in Bonds: Total Market
Monday, 15 January 2024 05:51

Will Bitcoin ETFs Challenge Gold?

The SEC has approved the first set of bitcoin ETFs this week following a long review process. Multiple ETFs began trading on Thursday to prevent any firm from having a first-mover advantage. So far, the iShares Bitcoin Trust is the leader in terms of inflows followed by the Bitwise bitcoin ETF and the Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin ETF.

 

This may adversely affect demand for gold as investors will have another option to diversify portfolios. According to Joy Yang, the Global Head of Index Product Management at MarketVector Indexes, these new ETFs will likely result in gold remaining range bound around current prices due to less interest from investors. She believes it could be similar to 2021 when gold underperformed during the bull market in cryptocurrencies.

 

Still, she doesn’t see gold falling below $2,000 in 2024 and is bullish on it in the longer-term due to geopolitical risks and economic and financial uncertainty. And she acknowledges that gold has more upside if the Fed is forced to cut more aggressively than currently anticipated. 

 

Overall, gold and bitcoin have many similarities despite one being less than 2 decades old, while the other has been around since the dawn of humanity. And both are ‘stores of value’ relative to currencies and offer protection against inflation. 


Finsum: Approval of multiple bitcoin ETFs is expected in the coming weeks. This is likely to have a negative impact on gold demand as investors will have another option to diversify their portfolios.

 

Published in Wealth Management

Institutional investors and money managers came together at the annual PERE America Forum and shared some thoughts on the private real estate market. The overall sentiment is that conditions will remain challenging until 2025 due to a large amount of commercial real estate debt that needs to be rolled over or refinanced at much higher rates.

 

According to John Murray, the head of PIMCO’s global private commercial real estate team, the situation is as bad as the Great Financial Crisis in terms of dislocations in capital markets. He notes that Fed policy is the major headwind, and its ‘crushing’ sentiment and liquidity. 

 

Sajith Ranasinghe, head of real estate at Church Pension Group, remarked that price discovery has been limited so investors are focusing more on income. He also expressed interest in private REITs which are down over 30% since rates began moving higher in 2022. 

 

Saul Lubetski, the vice-chairman of Harbor Group International recommends a ‘scalpel approach’ as $1.5 trillion of maturities are set to expire by 2025. He notes that the refinancing has already begun, albeit at a smaller and slower pace which should accelerate this year. However, it’s increasingly evident that borrowers are finally making peace with higher rates. 


Finsum: At the annual PERE conference, institutional investors and money managers gathered to share some thoughts on the private real estate market.

 

Published in Eq: Real Estate

Over the next few years, it’s expected that alternative assets will become a larger part of client portfolios. Advisors will have to contend with a changing landscape especially as more products will be introduced that are more complicated in terms of taxes and reporting. 

 

A looming challenge for advisors will be handling the increased workload as well as understanding these products in a comprehensive manner in order to explain it to their clients. It’s likely that asset managers will form partnerships with RIAs in order to help them navigate and simplify the process. Already, some asset managers have started to invest in efforts to educate advisors, but more will be necessary given the increase in the number of options.

 

According to Ernst & Young America's Financial Services, some advisors will increase allocation to alternatives to 10% or more. In the near-term, private credit products will see the strongest growth as they are seen as less risky while offering higher yields than fixed income.

 

In addition to private credit, most exposure to alternatives currently is through liquid alt mutual funds, liquid alt ETFs, and publicly-traded REITs. Over the next couple of years, areas forecast to have the highest growth in terms of assets are cryptocurrencies, digital assets, hedge funds, private equity, and private debt. 


Finsum: The alternative assets space is expected to heat up in the coming years. One challenge for advisors will be to understand these products and handling an increased workload. 

 

Published in Wealth Management

Alternative investments have captured the attention of institutional investors for decades, with private equity making up the lion's share of the alts category. Today, however, private credit is making waves and grabbing its piece of the investment pie.

 

As recently noted by Institutional Investor, "private credit has arguably become the most powerful transformational force in the financial world since the 2008 economic crisis." This rise to prominence can be attributed to a confluence of factors. Traditional lenders, reeling from the recent banking crisis, have become more risk-averse, leaving a gap in credit availability. Stepping into this void are alternative investment managers, offering much-needed capital to businesses.

 

With some investment managers now packaging their private credit holdings into vehicles accessible through financial advisors, an entirely new world of opportunity has opened to individual investors, allowing them to diversify their portfolios with this exciting asset class.

 

Private credit presents a compelling option for advisors seeking to enhance portfolio diversification and reduce correlation. While the credit crunch of early 2023 has eased, private credit firms remain active, diligently finding new markets to deploy their capital. If this trend continues, it ensures a steady supply of investment opportunities for both institutional and individual investors.


Finsum: Learn how the surge in private credit is creating portfolio diversification options for both institutional and individual investors.

 

Published in Wealth Management
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