1. Rowe Price made an aggressive bet in 2020 by increasing exposure to equities in its target return funds, as equities were crashing due to the pandemic. At the time, the asset manager was criticized for this move; however, it’s paid off in spades, with the S&P 500 hitting new, all-time highs earlier this month. As a result of its success, T. Rowe Price now has the third-most assets in terms of target-date funds behind Fidelity and Vanguard. 

Further, T. Rowe Price has remained up to 98% invested in its target-date funds, which is higher than its peers. According to an analysis from Cerulli, retirees hold up to 55% of their portfolio in equities at T. Rowe Price. Compare this to Fidelity and Vanguard, where equity allocations are 38% and 30%, respectively. 

Despite its recent success, some continue to believe that T. Rowe Price’s target-date funds are taking on too much equity risk. According to Ron Surz, the president of Target Date Solutions, “80% of assets should be risk-free at retirement. Virtually all target date funds are way riskier than the theory they follow." However, some believe that higher allocations to equities are necessary given that lifespans are increasing, which increases the risk that retirees could outlive their savings. 

Finsum: T. Rowe Price is pursuing a more aggressive strategy than its peers when it comes to equity allocations in its target-date funds. So far, it’s worked well, but there are some skeptics.    

For investors, Tax Day often brings financial woes as they grapple with income from their portfolios. Over two decades, U.S. equity mutual funds have consistently yielded 7% of Net Asset Value in capital gains, irrespective of market performance. 

Direct Indexing emerges as a viable option, empowering investors to offset losses against gains within their portfolios or other income streams. Traditional portfolio management typically disregards tax implications, leading to hefty tax bills for investors, notably during market downturns like 2008.

Direct indexing offers a remedy, enabling investors to tailor their portfolios and strategically sell underperforming assets to counterbalance gains elsewhere. This method reduces turnover since the aim is to mirror an index with minimal trading. Even in bullish markets, avenues for loss mitigation exist, rendering direct indexing an attractive tax management strategy. By mirroring selected indexes, investors can curtail capital gains and potentially offset other income with net tax losses. 

Finsum: Alpha and tax efficiency should be thought of in a similar lens and shouldn’t be discounted by advisors. 

Amidst higher interest rates, achieving alpha and managing risk in corporate credit necessitates a nuanced approach. Josh Lohmeier of Franklin Templeton Fixed Income unveils a dynamic portfolio construction method adaptable to diverse investor profiles and market conditions. 

In the current interest rate landscape, sophisticated techniques are essential for capturing alpha with improved downside protection. Alongside meticulous bottom-up security selection, a systematic quantitative portfolio construction process can potentially yield consistent excess returns uncorrelated with peer benchmarks. 

By segmenting the opportunity set based on volatility and strategically positioning along the yield curve, investors can optimize risk allocation and enhance portfolio returns. This adaptable portfolio construction framework offers a repeatable process with consistently positive outcomes, emphasizing the importance of diversification across managers and fixed income portfolios.

Finsum: Quantitative approaches can deliver a more resilient portfolio in times of increased volatility.

Opting to switch broker dealers is typically a last-resort decision, stirring discomfort among advisors. The mere contemplation of change signifies a threshold of considerable discomfort. There are various catalysts for this discomfort, with the top three reasons for advisors to consider such a move descending as follows:

1. Advisors increasingly require practice management and marketing aid from broker/dealers as they expand their practices and seek to optimize efficiency.
2. Advisors prioritize broker/dealers offering innovative technology solutions such as electronic signatures and paperless office systems.
3. Advisors explore broker/dealers offering higher payouts, lower expenses, and more favorable administrative fees to maximize profitability.

Despite the challenges, the landscape of over 500 Independent Broker/Dealers presents ample opportunities for advisors seeking change, with the potential for greener pastures elsewhere.

Finsum: Tech advancements are offering new advisors a plethora of reasons to consider a transition because they can improve both efficiency and client relationships. 

There has been widespread adoption of separately managed accounts starting in the mid  2000s. The rationale for managing fixed income assets in this manner remains pertinent today: transparency, flexibility, transaction cost management, and active management are paramount in fixed-income investing. 

SMAs offer tailored portfolio management to meet clients’ fixed-income objectives, including tax management, income production, and specific investment restrictions, setting them apart from pooled vehicles like mutual funds and ETFs. The growth in SMAs for fixed income has been remarkable, with assets in SMA municipal fixed-income investments expanding from $100 billion in 2008 to $718 billion by Q2 2023, according to Citi Research. 

The advantages of SMAs, such as enhanced customization and efficiency, have fueled their increasing adoption by investors seeking precise control and personalized solutions in managing their fixed-income portfolios.

Finsum: Tailored financial products deliver a more personalized client experience and SMAs provide an avenue to improved relationships.

Buffered ETFs are seeing explosive growth. The category had less than $200 million in assets and now has $36.7 billion. The major appeal is that they allow investors to remain fully invested while offering downside protection. 

However, they do tend to have higher costs and may not be appropriate for many investors. Buffered ETFs follow a benchmark while also using stock options to limit downside risk and capping gains on the upside. 

These products are modeled after structured notes, which have proven to be popular among high net worth and institutional investors. Like structured notes, buffered ETFs follow some sort of lifecycle, which means that advisors and investors have to consider market conditions when making a decision. This means they are not appropriate for rebalancing or dollar cost averaging strategies. An important consideration is the start date of the buffer ETF and the performance of the underlying index since the start date, as this could affect the value and desirability of the buffer.

According to Jeff Schwartz, president at the investment analytics firm Markov Processes International, “There is a lot to understand with buffer ETFs, and the history of structured products shows that both advisors and investors often do not fully understand the nuance of these vehicles." 

Finsum: Buffered ETFs are experiencing a surge in growth. The upside is that they allow investors to remain fully invested while capping the downside. However, there are also some downsides to consider.   

KKR recently shared its growth strategy for alternative investments geared towards wealthy individual investors. Initially, it plans to offer products focused on private credit, private equity, infrastructure, and real estate and aims to distribute them through financial advisors. The firm has noted strong interest from wealth managers and registered investment advisors. It believes that its 48 years of experience in the space and strong legacy will differentiate KKR from its competitors.

According to Eric Mogelof, KKR’s head of Global Client Solutions, “Private wealth is a transformational opportunity for KKR. Private wealth is large, it’s growing quickly, and importantly, allocations to alternatives in this space are only going in one direction, and that is up.” KKR sees alternatives accounting for 6% of the private wealth market by 2027, a sharp increase from its 2% share in 2022. 

This series of products will offer qualified investors the same type of access as institutional clients without any additional fees. KKR also believes that these products will be more liquid than competing alternatives. The firm also sees momentum to offer even more alternative product types in the near future. This is in response to their conversations with advisors, banks, wirehouses, and brokers, who have found that allocations to alternatives are increasing. 

Finsum: KKR sees a big opportunity in alternative investments and is launching a suite of products. It hopes to target wealthy investors through financial advisors. 

Raymond James conducted its annual survey of retired financial advisors to figure out how happy they are and the factors behind their responses. A consistent lesson is that succession planning is essential to feeling content in retirement. 

Many advisors recommend getting immediately started with succession planning, even if it is many years down the road. An important step is to identify a successor who you believe can continue effectively serving your clients. 

Some steps in this process include surveying your network to identify potential candidates, conducting interviews, and spending time with them to gauge if they are the right fit. It can also be helpful to get input from your firm’s management team.

Once you’ve identified a successor, the next step is to inform your clients. In the survey, 74% of advisors mentioned that communicating with clients was important in preparing for retirement. While these conversations can be initially awkward and uncomfortable, they will ultimately deepen the client-advisor relationship and increase the odds of a successful transition for your clients.

The final step is getting mentally and psychologically prepared for retirement. This can mean planning the final stage of their career, whether it means an immediate exit, a transition period, or a consulting role. Retiring advisors have considerable experience and wisdom that they can still share with their successors, especially during stressful situations.

Finsum: Raymond James conducts an annual survey of retired advisors to find out how many are happy and why. One of the major takeaways is the importance of proactive and effective succession planning.

Entering the year, there was optimism around real estate stocks given consensus expectations of rate cuts due to inflation falling to the Fed’s desired level and a weakening economy. However, the economy has defied skeptics and remains resilient, while inflation is plateauing at higher levels. As a result, the Fed will be less dovish than expected, and the market has tapered back expectations for rate cuts to between 1 and 2 by year-end. 

Another consequence of the data is that mortgage rates are trending back to last year’s highs, with the 30Y at 6.9%. The real estate sector sank lower following last week’s inflation report, led by self-storage companies, office REITs, and homebuilders on the downside. 

Over the past month and YTD, the Real Estate Select SPDR Fund (XLRE) is down 4.6% and 7.8%, respectively. The current environment of rates at a 23-year high is clearly a major headwind. And there are no indications that the status quo will meaningfully change until there is improvement in terms of inflation or more damage to the economy. The impact is evident in terms of Fed futures. At the start of March, odds indicated more than a 50% chance that there would be four or more rate cuts by the end of the year. Now, these odds have plummeted to 5%. 

Finsum: Real estate stocks have sunk lower in the last month, along with the odds of aggressive rate cuts by the Fed. As long as ‘higher for longer’ persists, there will be considerable stress for the weakest segments of the real estate market.

The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) is up 14% YTD, which is the second-best performance among sectors. This follows a year of underperformance in 2023 due to concerns of a recession impacting energy demand, while strong US production offsets the impacts of OPEC cuts. Last month, OPEC announced that production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day would continue in the second quarter.

This year, oil prices have risen due to increased tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, recent economic data has clarified that the US economy is not near a recession, and there are some indications of a pick-up in economic growth. The near-term macro picture looks bullish for energy stocks given increased demand, tighter supply, and intensifying geopolitical tensions. On the supply side, OPEC has demonstrated discipline in terms of members abiding by agreed-upon production cuts, and US production is expected to not increase further.

Given valuation concerns about many parts of the market, energy stocks are also cheap, trading at 13 times expected earnings vs. 21 for the S&P 500. XLE also pays a 3% yield, which is more than double the S&P 500’s yield of 1.4%. Further, historical research shows that energy stocks have posted the best performance in high-rate environments, which is likely to persist for longer given recent economic data. 

Finsum: Energy stocks have had a strong start to 2024. Recent economic data is supportive of increased demand, while the supply side is being impacted by OPEC cuts and heightened geopolitical tensions.