Displaying items by tag: volatility

According to a recent study by Lincoln Financial Group, market volatility is pushing Americans to refine their financial goals this year. The study revealed that 88% of Americans said they see room to improve their overall financial wellness, while 71% are likely to set financial goals in 2023. The respondents said that inflation and market volatility has made preparedness a top financial priority. For instance, 56% said protection from risk is most important to them, 39% said their greatest money goal is protecting their family, and 26% said guarding their income was a top priority. While data is showing that inflation is beginning to slow, there are still real concerns over whether the U.S. economy could enter a recession this year. This has investors nervous. David Berkowitz, Lincoln Financial Network president, said the following in a statement, "Our research reinforced the importance of financial solutions that can help consumers navigate through market cycles and protect their loved ones. People are not only concerned about having enough to pay their bills, but also saving for retirement and preparing for the unexpected.” For example, 40% of respondents said that financial protection meant being able to comfortably pay for basic living.

Finsum:A recent study by Lincoln Financial revealed that market volatility and inflation are pushing a majority of investors to set financial goals this year to navigate the market uncertainty.

While investors remain spooked by market volatility, Goldman Sachs believes direct indexing may benefit from the volatility. In its recent Market Know-How report, the firm wrote, “Direct indexing involves purchasing the underlying shares of an index, rather than owning an index fund. This investment strategy prioritizes tax-loss harvesting, which builds tax savings through capital losses while attempting to keep tracking error tight to the benchmark. Tax-loss harvesting works not only in down years but also in up years, historically, as individual constituents can still see intra-year declines.” The firm also listed the benefits of direct indexing beyond the tax-alpha achieved from harvesting losses. For instance, the firm lists benefits such as the ability to liquidate concentrated stock positions, reduce active risk in portfolios, and help offset significant taxable events such as the sale of a business or real estate. These can all be achieved through building a “war chest of capital losses.” In addition, Goldman also wrote that “owning individual securities instead of an index fund allows investors to achieve these potential benefits while expressing preferences, such as sector tilts.”

Finsum:In a recent report, Goldman Sachs stated that direct indexing may benefit from market volatility since the strategy prioritizes tax-loss harvesting, and historically, tax-loss harvesting works in both up and down markets.

If DataTrek Research is correct, we can’t expect a new bull market to commence until volatility declines. The research firm said that volatility isn’t expected to decline until two things happen. The first is the Federal Reserve stopping its interest rate hikes and the second is more clarity on corporate earnings expectations as we head into a potential recession next year. The firm believes that if investors can gauge those two factors, then they can capitalize on large stock market returns. They listed the S&P 500's 28% gain in 2003 after the dot-com bubble, the 26% gain in 2009 after the Financial Crisis, and the 61% surge from the COVID-19 low until the end of 2020 as examples. DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas stated, "For volatility to structurally decline and drive those high returns, investors need to have growing confidence they know how corporate earnings will develop. This means they must have a handle on monetary/fiscal policy." At present, investors are not sure about those factors. The Fed recently surprised the market when it indicated that it will likely raise rates by another 75 basis points next year and leave them higher for longer. In addition, analyst earnings estimates are all over the place.

Finsum:According to DataTrek Research, investors shouldn’t expect a new bull market in stocks until the Fed stops rising rates and there is more clarity on earnings expectations.

Inflation? Well, here’s some breaking news – even if CNN’s come to frown upon them lately: it’s still hitting nosebleed levels, according to gsam.com. What’s more, the wider economic environment, and the labor market, especially, has strutted its mettle.

Yeah; wow. Maybe – just maybe – the network will reconsider its spanking new policy.

In any event, it means the central banks will continue to rachet up rates. The question then becomes that since monetary policy impacts the economy with a lag, will they head north too far and quickly. From GSAM’s perspective, market stabilization will demand signs of inflation topping out, not to mention hawkishness and real yields.

”Higher inflation and higher growth volatility are propelling us into a higher yield environment, marking a departure from the post-financial crisis era,’ said Whitney Watson, global head of Fixed Income Portfolio Management, Construction & Risk at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. “Ultimately, we think this presents opportunities in high-quality fixed income assets, such as investment grade corporate bonds and agency MBS.”

Meantime, it seems bonds will be back in vogue with investors next year, according to schwab.com.

And it’s a real change of pace. Following subpar yields stretching years, and in the aftermath of the extremely hard knocks endured by prices in 2022, a bounce back appears to be in store in the fixed income markets.

According to a recent survey, market volatility is prompting advisors to actively grow their practices through digital marketing strategies. Broadridge Financial Solutions’ fourth-annual financial advisor marketing survey revealed that 63% of advisors are actively looking for new clients, while only 43% are seeing an increase in inbound prospect inquiries. Financial advisors from both Independent Broker-Dealers (IBDs) and Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) continue to face challenges stemming from competition, increasing compliance, market volatility, and regulatory pressures. This has forced them to come up with new strategies to grow their book. Broadridge has found that one of the better strategies for advisors to increase their pipelines is by implementing digital marketing. Kevin Darlington, general manager, and head of Broadridge Advisor Solutions stated, “…digital media usage is a bright spot and continues to show upward-trending success, as advisors double down on digital strategies and maximize the use of websites, LinkedIn and Facebook to generate leads." The survey also revealed that the success rate of advisors in converting social media leads into clients has been increasing, climbing from 34% in 2019 to 41% in 2022.

Finsum:The current volatility, along with regulatory pressures, and increased compliance has spurred advisors to grow their books through digital marketing.