Displaying items by tag: stocks

Global equity funds attracted $8.71 billion in net inflows, reversing the previous week’s $4.4 billion outflow, as risk appetite returned. Investor optimism was fueled by solid U.S. economic data, progress on trade deals with Japan and the EU, and upbeat early earnings reports, including record profits from TSMC and a forecast bump from PepsiCo. 

European equity funds led the charge with $8.79 billion in inflows, their best showing in 11 weeks, while U.S. equity outflows slowed significantly. Sector-wise, tech rebounded with $1.61 billion in inflows, while financials and industrials each brought in over $1 billion. 

Global bond funds continued their 14-week inflow streak, adding $17.94 billion, led by short-term, euro-denominated, and high-yield bond categories. Commodity funds saw a resurgence too, with gold and precious metals funds notching $1.9 billion in net inflows, their strongest showing in over a month.

Finsum: If optimism over trade deals and AI-driven earnings continues to build, we could be on the verge of a sustained equity rally that pulls even hesitant U.S. investors off the sidelines.

Inflation is cooling faster than expected, with May’s consumer price index rising just 0.1%, easing fears of a recession triggered by Trump-era tariffs and boosting investor confidence. A recent trade agreement between the U.S. and China, along with a tariff pause, has further calmed markets and revived interest in equities. 

With inflation slowing and pressure mounting on the Federal Reserve to cut rates again—potentially as early as September—investors are increasingly eyeing growth opportunities. 

Large-cap growth funds like T. Rowe Price Large Cap Growth (TRLGX), Blue Chip Growth (TRBCX), and Fidelity Contrafund (FCNTX) are drawing attention for their solid long-term returns and favorable expense ratios. These funds target high-quality, established companies positioned for above-average earnings growth, making them attractive in a more stable rate environment. 

With diversification benefits and relatively low costs, they offer a compelling way for investors to capitalize on improving macroeconomic conditions.

Small-cap stocks have struggled in early 2025, hurt by trade tensions and economic sensitivity, but a broadening equity market may set the stage for recovery. Despite current volatility, small-caps could benefit from their domestic focus—nearly 80% of Russell 2000 revenues come from within the U.S.—which offers insulation from global trade disruptions. 

Historically, small-caps have outperformed during periods when large-cap dominance fades, and current signs of market broadening echo those conditions. To navigate uncertainty, investors should favor high-quality small-cap stocks with strong fundamentals, as they tend to hold up better in downturns and outperform in recoveries. 

Market timing, however, remains risky, missing just a few key months can erase most gains, making long-term commitment crucial. 

Finsum: Patient investors who focus on quality and use active management may be best positioned to capture small-cap upside as market conditions evolve.

Although it's common to think small-cap stocks suffer most during recessions, the data tells a more nuanced story. Analysis of developed markets shows that in 64% of years when GDP declined, small caps actually outperformed large caps—a rate even higher than their typical performance advantage. 

This finding challenges the belief that economic slowdowns always disadvantage smaller firms. One reason may be that financial markets are inherently forward-looking, often pricing in future recovery well before it's visible in economic data. 

As a result, the size premium—where small caps outperform—can still emerge during downturns. Ultimately, small-cap strength isn't strictly tied to GDP trends, underscoring the importance of long-term diversification over short-term predictions.

Finsum: This is much different than the interest rate driven volatility several years ago, this could be a great time to capitalize 

Global stock markets declined this week as investors braced for new U.S. tariffs that have heightened recession fears. The S&P 500 briefly fell into correction territory before rebounding, but it still posted its worst quarter since 2022. 

The uncertainty surrounding trade policy pushed the CBOE Volatility Index higher and drove investors toward safe-haven assets like gold, which reached a record high above $3,100 an ounce. 

Asian and European markets also struggled, with automakers hit particularly hard after Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported vehicles and parts. Meanwhile, CoreWeave's stock tumbled after its IPO, and Hong Kong’s CK Hutchison declined as a Chinese regulatory review delayed a major ports deal.

Finsum: Investors are flocking to bonds for any chance of relief, but this could be the time to buy on the bottom of the market if Trump pulls the rug on tariffs once again.