Hey, naysayers – and don’t pretend you’re not paying attention -- on the heels of negative returns last year, in 2023, potentially, fixed income asset classes will come up with an improved total return performance, according to etftrends.com

In October and November, as risk markets hit the comeback trail in conjunction with indications that inflation was receding, positive momentum found its mojo. Those strides opened the gates for investors to sniff outside of interest rates that hit nosebleed levels -- even though market volatility probably isn’t headed for the door. That’s because the U.S. economy continues to pose challenges.

Given the Fed took actions that seduced rate hikes during 2022, U.S. Treasuries have up ticked big time. Consequently, the site stated, investors should contemplate a greater allocation of assets to the asset class.

Meantime, through passive investment strategies, investors still will be exposed to broad market beta, a trifecta these days of burgeoning inflation and interest rates along with greater dispersion across fixed income sectors and regions is the motherlode for skilled active management, according t0 wellington.com.

While direct indexing is expected to see wider engagement this year, it isn’t ready to take over the wealth management industry quite yet. That is according to Anton Honikman, CEO of MyVest, who stated “I’m not necessarily of the view that 2023 will be the year that direct indexing becomes broadly democratized. There’s a different discussion about bringing direct indexing to a broader market. What’s hindering that is the need for more of an experience with direct indexing.” Honikman says the necessary building blocks for direct indexing are in place such as access to fractional shares, commission-free trading, and portfolio management technology capable of handling the nuances of direct indexing. However, the technology to unlock its full potential is not in place, according to Honikman. That technology would enable the “true personalization” of financial plans and portfolios at scale. For now, Honikman believes that it makes more economic sense for firms to serve down-market clients with the next best alternative: low-cost, tax-efficient, ETF-based portfolios. Honikman says 2023 will be a year that technologists and wealth management firms continue to invest in personalization by focusing on building the onboarding experience and the data collection, management, and reporting capabilities that will eventually enable direct indexing.

Finsum:Anton Honikman, CEO of wealthtech firm MyVest, believes that direct indexing isn’t ready to take over the wealth management industry until technology such as data collection and reporting that would enable the “true personalization” of portfolios is put in place.

As investors increasingly buy ESG funds, there has also been an increase in academic research on the impact of implementing ESG constraints on equity portfolios. However, there hasn't been as much attention paid to research on ESG fixed-income investing. Inna Zorina and Lux Corlett-Roy published their study “The Hunt for Alpha in ESG Fixed Income: Fund Evidence from Around the World,” in the Fall 2022 issue of The Journal of Impact and ESG Investing. In the study, they examined whether ESG fixed-income funds generate out- or under-performance after controlling for systematic fixed-income factors. They found that while ESG fixed-income funds with a higher level of risk generally produced higher returns, most ESG fixed-income funds did not produce statistically significant positive or negative gross alphas. In fact, only 7% of funds managed to deliver greater returns at a lower level of risk relative to the respective benchmark. The study revealed that across ESG fixed-income funds with a European, U.S., and global focus, performance was mainly driven by systematic fixed-income factor exposures such as term and default risk. The results led Zorina and Corlett-Roy to conclude: “ESG fixed-income mutual funds and ETFs have not consistently delivered statistically significant gross alpha controlling for key fixed-income factors. The majority of alphas are statistically insignificant and therefore indistinguishable from zero. This conclusion is similar across fixed-income funds with a European, US, and Global ESG investment focus.”

Finsum:A recent study that looked into whether fixed-income ESG funds provided outperformance revealed that ESG fixed-income mutual funds and ETFs have not consistently delivered statistically significant gross alpha.

Investors are piling into the investment-grade market at a record rate due to higher yields and concerns over riskier debt. A total of $19 billion has been poured into funds that buy investment-grade corporate debt since the start of 2023. That marks the most ever at this point in the year, according to data from fund flow tracker EPFR. The money pouring into the asset class underscores an eagerness among investors to buy historically high yields provided by safer corporate debt after years of investing in riskier debt in search of returns. According to Matt Mish, head of credit strategy at UBS, “People basically think that fixed income, in general, looks a lot more attractive than it has in prior years. The euphoria around investment grade is basically more broadly this euphoria around yields. At least relative to last year and really relative to most of the last decade, [high-grade corporate debt] is offering yields that are considerably higher.” For instance, average US investment grade yields have jumped to 5.45% from 3.1% a year ago. The soaring yields come as a result of the broad sell-off in fixed income over the past year as the Federal Reserve rapidly lifted interest rates to help tame sky-high inflation.

Finsum: Investors are piling into investment-grade bond funds due to historically high yields on safer debt after years of investing in riskier debt in search of returns.

According to data compiled in late December and early January by Devin McGinley, director of InvestmentNews Research, advisors are showing an increasing interest in alternative investments. McGinley’s survey of more than 200 advisors and financial professionals revealed that 43% of advisors plan to add exposure to at least one alternative asset class this year, while 46% anticipate increasing their average allocation to alternatives over the next three years. The survey also revealed that advisors said their average allocation to alternatives over the next three years is expected to rise to 15% from a current average of 12% of client portfolios. McGinley explained that an uncertain economic outlook and a recognition of the long-term benefits of diversification are driving the increasing appeal of alternatives. While it’s the responsibility of advisors to navigate client portfolios, McGinley is also seeing increasing pressure from investors. For instance, more than a third of advisors surveyed said they’ve had clients asking about alternative investments over the past six months. When discussing alternatives, the two biggest investor concerns were down markets and inflation. McGinley said that “Clients are asking about alternatives because they’re nervous.” More specifically, his research found that clients are asking about the following asset classes in order: real estate, gold, private equity, liquid alternatives, cryptocurrency, structured notes, and private debt.

Finsum: Based on recent research by InvestmentNews, advisors are showing an increasing interest in alternative investments due to client pressure, an uncertain economic outlook, and the long-term benefits of diversification.