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الإثنين, 23 حزيران/يونيو 2025 12:44

Private Markets More Exposed to a Recession than Before

Private credit has grown so large and intertwined with banks and insurers that it now poses a systemic risk in future financial crises, according to a new Moody’s Analytics study co-authored by economists and regulators. 

 

The report warns that the opaque nature of private credit and its deepening ties to traditional finance could amplify financial shocks due to increased interconnectedness. Since the 2008 crisis, banks have reduced lending amid tighter regulations, creating room for private credit funds—often lending to riskier, heavily indebted companies—to flourish with less oversight. 

 

Researchers used business development companies as a proxy for the sector and found their market behavior is now more correlated with broader financial stress than in the past. Although private credit firms argue they are less prone to panics due to their long-term investor base, banks are still deeply exposed through indirect relationships like fund financing and risk transfers. 


Finsum: While private markets tend to be insulated from recessions compared to their public counter parts it’s important to keep this risk in mind when investing

 

الإثنين, 23 حزيران/يونيو 2025 12:43

ESG is Down but Not Out

Despite recent political pushback, institutional support for ESG (environmental, social, and governance) investing remains strong, with many large investors continuing to prioritize sustainability. 

 

This is good news for ESG-focused ETFs like the Invesco ESG Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQMG) and the ESG Nasdaq Next Gen 100 ETF (QQJG), which could see more adoption as political resistance fades. A 2025 BNP Paribas survey found that 87% of institutional investors have not altered their ESG goals, and 84% expect sustainability progress to continue or accelerate through 2030. 

 

Furthermore, 85% of respondents said they now integrate sustainability criteria into their investment processes. However, challenges persist, including concerns about ESG data reliability, greenwashing, and balancing short-term performance with long-term sustainability. 


Finsum: ETFs that aim to address those concerns by tracking transparent, sustainability-aligned indexes with performance in line with their non-ESG benchmarks.

الإثنين, 23 حزيران/يونيو 2025 12:42

Small Caps are Poised to Outperform After Setback

Small-cap stocks have struggled in early 2025, hurt by trade tensions and economic sensitivity, but a broadening equity market may set the stage for recovery. Despite current volatility, small-caps could benefit from their domestic focus—nearly 80% of Russell 2000 revenues come from within the U.S.—which offers insulation from global trade disruptions. 

 

Historically, small-caps have outperformed during periods when large-cap dominance fades, and current signs of market broadening echo those conditions. To navigate uncertainty, investors should favor high-quality small-cap stocks with strong fundamentals, as they tend to hold up better in downturns and outperform in recoveries. 

 

Market timing, however, remains risky, missing just a few key months can erase most gains, making long-term commitment crucial. 


Finsum: Patient investors who focus on quality and use active management may be best positioned to capture small-cap upside as market conditions evolve.

الإثنين, 23 حزيران/يونيو 2025 12:41

Goldman Study Finds Annuities Focus to Tame Volatility

A new Goldman Sachs Asset Management survey shows insurers are increasingly focused on annuities as a retirement income solution amid ongoing market volatility. Sixty-four percent of respondents rank annuities among their top three priorities, with many already offering or considering in-plan annuity options. 

 

Integration into managed accounts and target-date funds is rising, and automatic plan defaults are viewed as key to driving adoption during retirement decumulation. Registered index-linked and guaranteed variable annuities are gaining popularity, and insurers are diversifying underlying indices, with rising interest in AI strategies and international markets. 

 

AI is also being widely adopted, with 90% of insurers seeing it as vital for improving investor understanding, education, and operational efficiency. 


Finsum: Registered investment advisers have become the leading growth channel for annuity distribution, surpassing independent firms.

الإثنين, 23 حزيران/يونيو 2025 12:37

Commodities ETFs to Break the Coming Inflation Super Cycle

With markets shaky despite record highs, investors are turning to commodity ETFs as a hedge against inflation and uncertainty driven by Trump-era tariffs and policy risks. Commodity prices tend to rise with inflation, making them attractive during volatile periods, and ETFs offer simplified access to hard assets like gold, oil, and copper without the complexity of futures trading. 

 

The Invesco PDBC fund leads the space with $4.7 billion in assets and diversified exposure, notably in energy and metals, all while avoiding cumbersome K-1 tax forms. Meanwhile, the actively managed First Trust FTGC ETF charges higher fees but provides exposure to a wider range of commodities, including agriculture and precious metals. 

 

For those focused on specific assets, the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) offers low-cost access to gold, while the CPER fund targets copper futures, riding recent price momentum in industrial metals. 


Finsum:  ETFs provide accessible, diversified, and tax-friendly ways for investors to gain exposure to commodities within traditional brokerage accounts.

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