Displaying items by tag: credit

Markets entered 2025 on strong footing but were quickly rattled by earlier-than-expected U.S. tariff actions, delaying anticipated rate cuts and fueling volatility across equities, Treasuries, and currencies. AllianceBernstein expects moderate—not recessionary—growth in the second half, with fiscal and trade policy, Fed actions, and geopolitics serving as key macro drivers. 

Credit markets have shown resilience, and despite tighter spreads, elevated yields make high-quality issuers—particularly BB-rated bonds—attractive for income and risk management. With inflation expected to peak by the third quarter, the firm favors short-to-intermediate bond maturities to balance yield opportunities against interest-rate risk. 

Equity markets, while volatile in early 2025, have since broadened beyond U.S. tech leaders to global and value-oriented sectors, especially in Europe where banks and dividend payers stand out. 

Finsum: Multi-asset income strategies as well-positioned for this uncertain backdrop, combining yield, diversification, and adaptability amid shifting policy and market conditions.

Coinbase Asset Management and Apollo have partnered to launch tokenized credit products, combining Apollo’s private credit expertise with Coinbase’s blockchain infrastructure to introduce new stablecoin-backed strategies in 2026. Their initiatives follow the GENIUS Act, which established the first U.S. federal framework for stablecoins and is expected to drive the market to $3 trillion by 2030. 

Meanwhile, fund managers such as Hamilton Lane and Laser Digital have begun tokenizing credit funds via KAIO, a protocol purpose-built for institutional-grade onchain assets, with over $200 million already tokenized. KAIO, backed by Nomura, recently integrated with the Sei blockchain to provide fast, compliant access to funds like Hamilton Lane’s senior credit platform and BlackRock’s ICS US Dollar Liquidity Fund. 

In a related move, Securitize announced plans to go public through a merger with Cantor Equity Partners II, valuing the company at $1.25 billion and positioning it at the forefront of a $19 trillion market for real-world asset tokenization.

Finsum: Demand for tokenized assets is rising sharply, with Broadridge reporting that while only 15% of asset managers currently offer tokenized funds, 41% plan to do so soon.

With U.S. GDP dipping negative in Q1 and tariffs clouding the policy outlook, concerns are mounting over how resilient the American consumer truly is. Rising credit card delinquencies point to financial strain, especially among lower-income, lower-FICO borrowers, while looser post-pandemic underwriting standards and inflation have only added pressure. 

In contrast, higher-income consumers—especially homeowners—have largely weathered the storm, thanks in part to low fixed-rate mortgages and tighter lending practices in recent years. 

This divergence is pushing savvy investors to focus on more defensive segments like asset-backed residential credit and small business loans with strong underwriting. While these may offer slightly lower yields, they come with greater resilience and the potential for long-term stability amid an increasingly bifurcated market. 

Finsum: As credit performance grows more uneven, navigating this environment requires a sharper eye on borrower quality and a flexible, informed investment approach.

Apollo Global Management Inc. is exploring the possibility of establishing a trading desk to buy and sell direct loans in the $1.7 trillion private credit market, which is typically illiquid. While the plans are still preliminary and could be abandoned, Apollo’s interest follows similar moves by other firms like Golub Capital and JPMorgan Chase. 

These firms are actively trading private loans, although such transactions remain rare due to lenders' preference to hold debt until maturity. Concerns exist that increased trading could undermine the benefits of direct lending, such as privacy, convenience, and price stability. 

However, secondary trading could be attractive to investors looking to enhance liquidity or reposition their portfolios. As the private credit market evolves, trading direct loans might become more common, especially for distressed assets.

Finsum: As a key figure in the space its important to keep an eye on the changes Apollo is making in private credit. 

The rapid growth of private credit lending beyond its traditional markets highlights concerns about its opaque nature and potential risks to the U.S. economy, according to Moody's. Non-bank private credit lenders are increasingly competing with traditional banks by offering non-publicly traded debt to mid-sized corporate borrowers. 

This trend has expanded into alternative lending opportunities such as asset-based financing. Despite banks refinancing significant debt and providing leveraged loans for M&A deals, private credit lenders are finding new opportunities. 

Regulators and the IMF have expressed concerns about the potential risks and lack of transparency in this growing market. Four major alternative asset managers have significantly increased their credit assets under management, further highlighting the sector's rapid expansion.

Finsum: We probably aren’t close to a regulation overhaul with private credit but transparency is worth considering.