Displaying items by tag: international equities

Emerging-market stocks and currencies fell sharply after strong U.S. economic data reduced expectations for multiple Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. MSCI’s currency benchmark dropped more than 0.3%, marking its largest one-day loss since July, while a similar gauge for equities slipped 0.7%, the steepest decline since late August. 

Traders now see a diminished chance of two Fed cuts by year-end, as U.S. growth accelerated and jobless claims fell. Sentiment was further pressured by geopolitical risks, including rising tensions between Russia and NATO and fiscal concerns in countries such as Poland and Indonesia. 

The Philippine peso and Indonesian rupiah led declines, while the Polish zloty and Hungarian forint also weakened on regional political and energy disputes. 

Finsum: Despite recent setbacks, some strategists still expect emerging-market assets to recover toward year-end on macro tailwinds and favorable seasonality.

(London)

The US stock market is looking increasingly volatile at the moment. Valuations are high, there are a number of fears, and worries over a trade war are causing daily swings. So what is an investor to do? One good option is to hedge US equity exposure with some international equities. Overseas stocks had a mixed first quarter but have been doing well recently. The reason why appears to be that they have underperformed the US for years, but are now finally catching up. While lending standards are tightening in the US, they are loosening elsewhere, causing a consumer spending boom. Further, higher US valuations make overseas stocks look “cheap”.

FINSUM: Having some overseas allocation seems like a good idea right now. The only real weakness we see, beyond Dollar risk, is that a trade war would negatively affect all countries, at least in the near term.