Displaying items by tag: hedging

Private equity leaders are cautioning that while industry assets are likely to keep expanding, the number of firms competing for those dollars could shrink dramatically. KKR’s CFO Robert Lewin and Apollo’s president Jim Zelter both suggested that smaller managers, burdened by high fixed costs and limited fundraising capacity, may not survive the next cycle. 

Lewin forecasted a wave of organic consolidation over the next five years, while Zelter warned that many firms may already have raised their last fund without realizing it. Larger players, by contrast, are positioned to thrive, offering a wider array of products and attracting investors eager to simplify their GP relationships. 

Consolidation could also accelerate through acquisitions, with bigger firms absorbing weaker rivals. 

Finsum: The same pressures are expected to spread into venture capital, where scale and distribution strength are becoming just as critical.

The target date market surged in the first half of 2025, with combined assets across mutual funds, CITs, and custom solutions rising 10% to more than $4.7 trillion. Vanguard extended its dominance, adding $121 billion to reach $1.6 trillion, far ahead of Fidelity’s $623 billion. 

A major development is the rapid rise of income-enabled target date funds, whose assets climbed to $103 billion, led by TIAA’s RetirePlus model and BlackRock’s LifePath Paycheck series. 

These products reflect growing demand for pension-like security within modern 401(k) structures, blending glide paths with annuity-based income features. Co-manufacturing partnerships between recordkeepers, insurers, and asset managers are fueling much of this innovation, while CIT-based target date funds have overtaken mutual funds, now holding 53% of assets. 

Finsum: Target date funds are a great way to start a portfolio for clients and then to build customization around the edges. 

Private credit has grown so large and intertwined with banks and insurers that it now poses a systemic risk in future financial crises, according to a new Moody’s Analytics study co-authored by economists and regulators. 

The report warns that the opaque nature of private credit and its deepening ties to traditional finance could amplify financial shocks due to increased interconnectedness. Since the 2008 crisis, banks have reduced lending amid tighter regulations, creating room for private credit funds—often lending to riskier, heavily indebted companies—to flourish with less oversight. 

Researchers used business development companies as a proxy for the sector and found their market behavior is now more correlated with broader financial stress than in the past. Although private credit firms argue they are less prone to panics due to their long-term investor base, banks are still deeply exposed through indirect relationships like fund financing and risk transfers. 

Finsum: While private markets tend to be insulated from recessions compared to their public counter parts it’s important to keep this risk in mind when investing

Ethena has introduced USDtb, a new stablecoin backed predominantly by BlackRock’s tokenized BUIDL fund. Over 90% of USDtb’s reserves will consist of U.S. government debt, cash, and repos, with the remainder held in stablecoins and tokenized Treasuries. 

Designed to complement Ethena’s synthetic dollar product, USDe, USDtb serves as a reserve asset to mitigate risks associated with USDe’s derivative-based strategy during unfavorable market conditions. The reserves for USDtb will be managed by Pallas, a BVI-based entity, while Ethena Labs will provide oversight and investment management through its subsidiaries. 

The stablecoin has undergone independent security audits and is supported by major liquidity providers such as Jump and GSR Markets. 

Finsum: While bitcoin is drawing a lot of crypto attention, stable coin could be a wonderful opportunity looking for slightly different in crypto. 

With the U.S. presidential election approaching, markets are anticipating potential volatility, and investors are weighing where to allocate their money. While some hedge funds are positioning for “Trump trades,” U.S. Global Investors instead sees growing opportunities in alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin. 

Paul Tudor Jones shares this perspective, highlighting these assets as hedges against rising U.S. debt and inflation concerns. The national debt has reached unsustainable levels, doubling its GDP ratio over 25 years, and the federal deficit continues to climb. 

As inflation impacts traditional assets, commodities like gold, silver, and Bitcoin have become more attractive as they tend to perform well in inflationary environments. 

Finsum: Despite election-related uncertainties, holding alternative assets may help investors maintain portfolio stability in the long run.