Displaying items by tag: hedging
Private Markets More Exposed to a Recession than Before
Private credit has grown so large and intertwined with banks and insurers that it now poses a systemic risk in future financial crises, according to a new Moody’s Analytics study co-authored by economists and regulators.
The report warns that the opaque nature of private credit and its deepening ties to traditional finance could amplify financial shocks due to increased interconnectedness. Since the 2008 crisis, banks have reduced lending amid tighter regulations, creating room for private credit funds—often lending to riskier, heavily indebted companies—to flourish with less oversight.
Researchers used business development companies as a proxy for the sector and found their market behavior is now more correlated with broader financial stress than in the past. Although private credit firms argue they are less prone to panics due to their long-term investor base, banks are still deeply exposed through indirect relationships like fund financing and risk transfers.
Finsum: While private markets tend to be insulated from recessions compared to their public counter parts it’s important to keep this risk in mind when investing
Don’t Sleep on this Stablecoin
Ethena has introduced USDtb, a new stablecoin backed predominantly by BlackRock’s tokenized BUIDL fund. Over 90% of USDtb’s reserves will consist of U.S. government debt, cash, and repos, with the remainder held in stablecoins and tokenized Treasuries.
Designed to complement Ethena’s synthetic dollar product, USDe, USDtb serves as a reserve asset to mitigate risks associated with USDe’s derivative-based strategy during unfavorable market conditions. The reserves for USDtb will be managed by Pallas, a BVI-based entity, while Ethena Labs will provide oversight and investment management through its subsidiaries.
The stablecoin has undergone independent security audits and is supported by major liquidity providers such as Jump and GSR Markets.
Finsum: While bitcoin is drawing a lot of crypto attention, stable coin could be a wonderful opportunity looking for slightly different in crypto.
Think Alternative with Political Uncertainty
With the U.S. presidential election approaching, markets are anticipating potential volatility, and investors are weighing where to allocate their money. While some hedge funds are positioning for “Trump trades,” U.S. Global Investors instead sees growing opportunities in alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin.
Paul Tudor Jones shares this perspective, highlighting these assets as hedges against rising U.S. debt and inflation concerns. The national debt has reached unsustainable levels, doubling its GDP ratio over 25 years, and the federal deficit continues to climb.
As inflation impacts traditional assets, commodities like gold, silver, and Bitcoin have become more attractive as they tend to perform well in inflationary environments.
Finsum: Despite election-related uncertainties, holding alternative assets may help investors maintain portfolio stability in the long run.
Nvidia Options Moving the Market
Nvidia's stock surge has had an outsized influence on the S&P 500 this year, accounting for nearly a quarter of the index's 17% gain. The company's 140% rise, driven by strong demand for its AI chips, has been a key market driver, with a single-day 8.2% rally lifting the S&P 500 to its biggest gain in almost two years.
Investors are concerned that a downturn in Nvidia could drag the broader market down, as the index has struggled to rise on days when the chipmaker's shares decline.
Nvidia’s dominance in the options market, where it accounts for up to 30% of daily stock options volume, has further amplified its stock movements. Analysts warn that if demand for Nvidia's products weakens, it could trigger a broader market sell-off.
Finsum: Investors need to consider how options plays can lead to better outcomes for their portfolios, and situational plays that compliment their current book.
BlackRock’s Buffer Play
BlackRock has introduced a 'buffer' ETF, the iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Jun ETF (ticker: MAXJ), designed to offer a 100% downside hedge for cautious investors. This ETF tracks the S&P 500 using options with an upside cap, aiming to protect against losses for about a year.
Buffer ETFs are beneficial as they help maximize returns while providing downside protection during volatile market periods.
They are especially attractive to investors wary of market volatility and economic uncertainties, such as inflation and potential interest rate hikes. BlackRock's extensive reach and marketing capabilities could help it catch up with competitors in this space.
Finsum: BlackRock’s pioneering in quantitative strategies puts them in a good position to maximize the abilities of buffer ETFs